It was 4 years dark for Democrats among young voters – especially white men. This is not the first time we have This is the problemAnd certainly will not be the last.
In the 2024 elections, President Donald Trump carried vote between men in general with 12 points, even when Vice President Kamala Harris led women with 8 points. Married men gave Trump an unbalanced advantage 60-38, and even came out of Harris between Latin men with 54-44. Although 1 out of 5 black men supported Trump, this continues to contradict the black women, who went 92-7 for Harris.
But the most disturbing numbers came from young voters. Men under the age of 30 erupted to Trump at 49-48, while women of the same age supported Harris by 61-38. These contracts reflected from young generations vote almost uniformly liberal than previous generations.
But it was too late, none of this was surprising.
A long time before voting, the party’s registration data showed where things were heading. In 2018, Democrats accounted for 66 % of new voters under the age of 45 who registered with a major party. By 2024, This hole To 48 %, which was reflected in the election results.
this table He explains how this decrease was blatant:
The collapse did not come out of nothingness; It was revealed in very specific circumstances. The Corona virus’s pandemic shattered high school and college school experiences for millions of young people. Inflation and subsequent subsequent economies, they collected those at the lower end of the ladder-the most important of all.
Meanwhile, “Manosphere” exploded, with right-wing podquasts-like Trump, Joe Rogan-Jeddah of huge fans. Add in a violent cultural reaction against the Patriarchate – which then caused a violent counter -reaction – and the earth was fertile to the grievance policy.
The prospects of the future appeared dark. It made high tuition fees that made the college similar to luxury, while housing prices made the ownership of the house a fantasy for most. Against that background, disappointment was inevitable.
I Preceded This study conducted by Equimundo, which works to involve young people as allies of gender equality. And I found that the economic accuracy collides directly with the traditional concepts of masculinity, especially the expectation of men to be spur. When this role is far -reaching, it results from despair, anger and attraction to the strong tyranny. In other words, when society tells men, their value is related to their ability to provide it, but the economy makes it impossible, the door is widely opened to Trump’s imaginations.
But this is the thing: most of these young people have not experienced the presidency of a republic like an adult. George W. Bush’s failures were before their time, and only Trump knew that he was artists who raise bombs in the same people who hate them.
Now it struck reality, and POW BostBuster Poll Trump’s approval between his supporters from 18 to 34 years of collapse collapsed from 94 % in February to only 69 % by the first week of August.
This decrease is a proper sense. While Trump’s older voters knew exactly what they were buying, the young was in a harsh surprise. The pain is not over. Trump’s tariff was not fully combined through the economy, and his other destructive policies – from collective deportations that work to make cheap immigrants to his chart to politicize the Federal Reserve.
More damage is coming.
But none of this erases the main problem of the Democratic Party with men: a turbulent brand, the numbers of the terrible voter registration, and the tendency to talk about men in ways that you feel more similar to persuasion. And yes, I am included in that.
But Trump’s rapid support among young people may give us all the breathing room heading to the middle of the period 2026 – not to mention an opportunity to start reforming relations with a group of political terms.
Traditional wisdom in political science says that partisan loyalty is locked up after successive elections with the same party. This regiment has already gone with Trump once, but their new caution – which is clarified through the living experience and until it is reflected in doubts from Characters like RoganDemocrats may be supposed to have an opening.
The challenge is whether the party is ready to take it.