The next German counselor has ever been convinced that the defensive and commercial relationship with Washington is collapsing, plans to implement his goal of “independence from the United States”
He is not the only one.
The new Canadian Prime Minister said last week that “the old relationship that we had with the United States” – the narrowest military and economic partnerships – is now. ” Poland’s president is contemplating publicly about obtaining nuclear weapons. The new leader of Greenland, who hosts US air bases since World War II, has been his reaction to the unaccounted visit of an American delegation with discontent.
“President Trump says that the United States” will get Greenland, “said Prime Minister Jenus Friedrich Nielsen on social media. We do not belong to anyone else. We decide our future. “
These are the results so far about President Trump’s threats to abandon the NATO allies whose contributions are not sufficient, and his announcement that the European Union has been designed to “the weight” of the United States and its efforts to expand the United States’ mass. The main reaction is resistance everywhere. Now, in this vein of threats, West and pain, President Trump is expected to announce the “Liberation Day” tariff on Wednesday.
Details of the definitions are still unclear, and this is one of the reasons why markets are on the edge of the abyss. Political leaders on the brink of the abyss as well, because Mr. Trump has made it clear that the definitions will fall on opponents like China as well as the countries that, until recently, were the closest defense and intelligence allies in America.
Trump administration officials do not inhabit the price that consumers will pay, nor on the effects that the inevitable revenge will cause. But as it was strange, the administration did not leave any analysis of the cost and benefit of the president’s actions, such as whether the acquired revenues deserve the damage to the US central alliances.
The days when Mr. Trump only threatened to withdraw forces from nations such as South Korea and Japan, which runs a trade surplus with the United States. Now, they want them to pay-for an unspecified mixture of subsidies for their own industries, taxes on American goods, free riding on American security and rejecting his expansionist demands.
Mr. Trump already shows signs of attention that his goals may cooperate against him.
A few days ago, he posted a midnight warning on social media of its closest allies that “if the European Union is working with Canada to cause economic harm in the United States of America, the collective tariff will be laid widely, much larger than the planned, both.”
China announced on Sunday that the Minister of Commerce had approved with Japan and South Korea – the most powerful allies in Washington in the Pacific – to a joint response to Mr. Trump’s actions. In Seoul, the statement was described as a “exaggerated” copy of a discussion on new supply chains. But Beijing clearly wanted to leave the impression that he could work with America’s allies if Washington did not.
Looking at one of the ways, Mr. Trump’s “Liberation Day” is the logical extension of the goal he announced in his opening speech. He said: “Instead of imposing taxes on our citizens to enrich other countries, we will target and tax on foreign countries to enrich our citizens.” This indicates that he does not intend to be the definitions to be a negotiating tool. Instead, they are expected to be a permanent source of revenue and – if you think that officials like Trade Minister Howard Lottenic – “They will reduce the deficit and balance the budget.” He added: “Let people who live outside our economy pay, and we will pay less.”
Given less optimism, the imposition of customs duties may expel the last trio of alliances across the Atlantic and Canadian Ocean. Defense relations, commercial interconnection and bonds that sponsor more than 80 years have been linked to those areas.
These three threads are deliberately designed to be enhanced. For Mr. Trump and his allies, they were cavity to benefit from the United States, a view that has been clarified in exchanges in the now famous signal conversation that was published last week. I paid at home the fact that while President Trump takes on all their allies in America, he houses certain fees for Europe.
When they discussed the timing and wisdom of the strike against the Houthis because of their attacks on shipping, Vice President JD Vance wondered whether we were mistaken “because Europe and Egypt are the most dependent on the transportation of ships via the Swiss channel. (In fact, China is among the largest beneficiaries, but it was never mentioned.)
“I just hate to save Europe again,” he wrote, leading the Defense Minister, Higseth’s Beit, to respond, “I am completely involved in the occurrence of a European free occurrence. It is compassionate.” They continued to discuss that, in some way, Europe will find to pay the cost of the operation – although European allies seem to have been in the dark about the planned attack.
“There should be some additional economic gains extracted in return,” Stephen Miller, the White House Vice President, note in the chat.
Evo Daldar, a former American ambassador in NATO, Recently The clear conclusion that other countries of the chat can reach is “apparently, the US military is intended for rental, even if there is no demand for their services.”
“And if you want us – you have to pay.”
Significantly, Mr. Trump’s national security officials act as if everything was normal, as if their boss does not raise the regime. On Thursday, a day after Mr. Trump announced the customs tariff, Foreign Minister Marco Rubio will represent the United States at a long -time meeting that will greatly focus on the war in Ukraine.
He will have to move in the discontent of his colleagues from the foreign ministers, who most of them argue, to a large extent, that the United States is making a basic mistake by seeking to normalize relations with Russia – rather than containing and punishing it for the invasion of Ukraine – and that it seeks to eliminate their economies. (Sometimes, before leaving his position as Canadian Prime Minister, Justin Trump told his Canadian Prime Minister, that Mr. Trump was trying to “completely collapse the Canadian economy because that would be implicitly.”
The result is that the NATO countries meet regularly to discuss whether it is possible to design the peacekeeping force or the power of the observer to go to Ukraine, in the event that the shooting stops, without the United States. They discuss whether the nuclear umbrella in Britain and France can extend over the other NATO allies, because the United States may not depend on it. It eroded confidence, just two and a half months ago, almost looked out.
Such discussions raise a long recognition by European countries that they will have to spend more on the defense, although it may take one or more decades to repeat the capabilities that the United States brings to the alliance. The downside is that if there is a global crisis in the coming years, the United States may have to enter it without the greatest fatal power: its allies.
“In the fifties of the last century, the thought in the United States was that NATO would be one of many alliances.”
“The reason is that NATO survived and flourished is that the common values and commercial relationship supported security obligations,” added Ms. Shik, a defense official in the administration of President George W. Bush, who is widely written about the history of the alliances.
“Who thinks President Trump will help us when we need forces allied to the important operations of US security?” I asked. And who will sympathize with the Americans if there is September 11, given the behavior of the United States government?