Iranian missile arsenal is diminished, but it is still bigger in the Middle East: experts

Even amid a fragile ceasefire, Iran continues to warn the United States and Israel that it reserves the ability to severe damage if it is provoked.

Iranian officials have announced that the country can maintain daily missile strikes for two years – a demand that attract the increasing scrutiny of military experts and western intelligence analysts.

“Our armed forces are at the height of their willingness,” said Major General Ibrahim Gabari of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), speaking to the semi -official Mehr agency. “Warehouses, underground missile bases, and the facilities that we have are so enormous that we have not yet appeared the majority of our defensive capabilities and effective missiles.”

“In a state of war with Israel and the United States, our facilities will not be exhausted even if we fired missiles every day for two years,” he added.

Maj. “Until now, we have produced several thousand missiles and drones, and their place is safe.”

However, intelligence analysis indicates that Iran’s demands are the mask of serious losses.

Tehran began the conflict with a arsenal of about 3000 rockets and 500 missile launchers to 600 missile launchers, according to open source intelligence. By the end of the so-called “12-day war”-a series of attacks by Israel on military storage warehouses and production facilities followed by American attacks on nuclear sites and anti-Iranian attacks-they reached between 1,000 missiles, 1500 missiles and only 150 launchers to 200 launchers.

Trump brokers, Iran, the ceasefire, as experts say, the regime’s arsenal is shattered, but the threat is still

“The regime has increasingly forced the choice between using these projectiles or losing them as a targeted might for Israel,” said Bahanam Bin Talblo, an expert in Iran at the Defense Defense Foundation.

It will be very difficult to replace missile launchers after Israel deteriorated its productive capabilities, according to Danny Citrinovic, Iran’s expert at the Institute of National Security Studies.

He told Fox News Digital:

Iran may have the ability to attack Israel with its missiles, but “not in hundreds.”

Can Iran hit the American homeland?

The Iranian discourse sometimes raised the idea of ​​hitting the United States directly, but analysts agree that the threat is limited.

“The theoretical method that enables them to force the United States use its ability in Venezuela,” Sirinovich said. “Strategic, it was one of the main goals they had – to build their presence in Venezuela. But it is a long snapshot. It will be very difficult to do this, and I am not sure that the Venezuelan government would like to happen.”

Instead, any retaliatory strike is likely to focus on American assets and employees in the Middle East.

Kasapoglu, an older colleague at the Hudson Institute and military affairs expert in the Middle East, said that the targets of the Israeli war exceeded missile factories, targeting Iranian nuclear infrastructure and developing advanced weapons.

“We are not 100 % sure of the damage to the central expulsion, so we cannot say that the nuclear program has been informed.” “But we can safely assume that the nuclear program had a setback for years.”

The expert says that the Israeli defense capabilities prevented “much greater destruction.”

He added that Israel has focused heavily on Iranian medium-range ballistic missiles-many of which contain “very high speed, near Mach 10”, and are capable of void maneuvers.

“This makes them more dangerous,” he said.

However, despite the setbacks, Iran “is still the largest ballistic missile force in the Middle East,” he stressed. “We have seen that during the war, as Iran was able to penetrate the Israeli airspace – even when the Israeli and American protesters were shooting after an objection to stopping one ballistic missile.”

Kasapoglu referred to the comparison of the “depth of the magazine”, and Iran still maintains a deeper stock of missiles from Israel, even with American assistance, and has an objection.

Chinese agent and participation forces

The regional threat is not limited to the main righteous arsenal in Iran. Iran’s agents, especially the Houthis in Yemen, remain a strong force.

“The Houthis are the Iranian agent who is really concerned.”

Kasapoglu referred to a new intelligence accusing Chinese satellite companies of providing in an actual time to target data to the Houthis, who resumed marine attacks in the Red Sea.

“Two days ago, they attacked a Greek Lipperian ship,” he said.

By supporting advanced Chinese satellites and anti -ship -shaving missiles, the Houthis can destabilize the stability of the freight corridors and expand the conflict beyond the Israel front, Iran.

“Iran continues to have significantly asymmetric capabilities in the maritime field and terrorist devices across patriotism, but it is difficult to see how it will not call for the publication of these assets to more ruin,” said Tallo. “Bluster and Hyperble have long have been the elements of the Iranian deterrence strategy.”

The so -called “12 -day war” ended in a ceasefire in the United States, but the region is still ready. Iranian leaders are still proud of the unexploited military capabilities, but the battlefield losses, manufacturing turmoil, and previous counter -attack measures have staff their options.

While Tehran maintains the power to display the power and threat of both Israel and the American regional origins, experts agree that its ability to launch continuous high -size attacks has been useful.

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Iran may still be dangerous, but its bark, at the present time, may be higher than its bite.