Goldman Sachs raises the possibilities of recession, as Trump appears to be honest on customs duties

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President Donald Trump looked more than hawks in trade in recent days after he reduced his plans to announce the new customs tariff this week, according to a new report. It comes like Goldman Sachs (GS-3.22 %Economists have increased the expected recession possibilities over the next 12 months, from 20 % to 35 %.

Trump has He pushed his team to be more aggressive on the definitionsEncouraging advisers to apply a higher rate of duties to a broader group of countries, The Wall Street Journal (Nwsa-1.24 %) Reports. Advisors looked at a tariff of up to 20 % on almost all trading partners in the United States.

Trump prompted the imposition of import taxes on goods from all countries that suffer from a trade deficit with it, and the possibility of the so -called “mutual” tariffs on the table, according to magazine reports.

It is still unclear whether the duties of the industry will be revealed through the new definitions that are expected to be announced on Wednesday.

Economists Ronnie Walker, Alec Phillips, David Merikli wrote in a note of customers, “Economists Ronnie Walker, Alec Phillips, David Merikley wrote in a note:” Economists Ronnie Walker, Alec Phillips, David Merikli wrote in the note: “Economists Ronnie Walker, Alec Phillips, David Merikley wrote in the note:” Economists wrote Ronnie Walker, Alack Phillips, David Merikley in a note: “The upments of the upper recession of Tadmman:” reflects the expectations of the highest recession “the decrease in our basic line in growth, the recent sharp deterioration of family and business confidence, and data from White House officials that indicate a greater willingness to tolerance with the recent economic weakness in the pursuit of their policies,” Economists wrote Ronnie Walker, Alec Philips, and David Merikley in a note. For customers.

Economists display the average American tariff rate of 15 percentage points this year, which is the previous “risk” scenario. This may eventually be reduced by exceptions to 9 degrees Celsius. They strengthened the basic inflation forecast for PCE at the end of 2025 to 3.5 % of 3 %-and expected a decrease in GDP gross domestic product and unemployment height from before.

Trump refused concerns about the high prices of cars During the weekend, tell NBC News (CMCSA-1.70 %He did not care about him, the price of foreign cars has risen because it would buy Americans to buy locally made cars. American automobile companies have warned that the customs tariff will increase the costs of their products.

The stock market had a relatively benign reaction to the announcement of a car tariff last week, which is what Be surprised Chris Griecen, the market’s chief market strategy at Mai Capital Management, given that the duties were more sincere than expected. He is now expected to be new duties on Wednesday, honestly, may be followed by another silent reaction from investors.

“No one has any experience in moving from the world of free trade to a world of protection, and we are a kind of making it with our progress,” Grisante said last week.

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