Survey says It is a weekly chain linking the most important polling trends or data points that need to know, as well as check the direction that pushes policy.
In June 2015, it was not easy to define President Donald Trump’s policy.
Famous businessman spent most of his public life discussing money, instead of politics. he Jumpand IrregularAnd he never adheres to one ideology. It is not surprising, then, that the Americans were not sure of the box in which it was placed.
Four years in the White House changed it. Since his return to the White House earlier this year, Trump has doubled on a strong right-wing agenda-Protection of retreat For people LGBTQ+, cutting deals that benefit the wealthy, Disable Dei initiativesAnd pay the policies that are both Control of democracy And combating democracy. Whatever the ambiguity that was present a decade ago, it was long ago.
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However, a large share of Republicans still see Trump completely differently. Late August Yugov The poll explains how voters in Mark are revolving from its record. According to the survey, 35 % of Republicans believe that Trump supports raising the minimum wage, 45 % believes that he supports the protection of stronger workers, 26 % says he prefers high corporate taxes, and only 29 % believes that he will raise taxes on the wealthy.
In fact, Trump’s record extends in the other direction. His administration Go to the tape The minimum wage and additional protection of 3.7 million home care and home workers. he Kill To prevent employers from paying disabled workers less than the minimum federal wages $ 7.25 per hour. It is expected that it will present the tax and overwhelming budget plan – called the one beautiful bill. The largest transfer From the wealth of Americans from the working class to the superior in the history of the United States.
The separation is remarkable. Democrats and independents are more accurate in measuring Trump sites. The Yougov poll found that only 9 % of Democrats and 17 % of independents believe that Trump supports the protection of stronger workers. Only 10 % of Democrats and 18 % of the independents believe that it prefers to raise the minimum wage.
In other words, Democrats and independents generally see Trump to whom it is. Republicans, not much.
So why is a misunderstanding? Grant RiahIt is related to polarization and “expressive bias”.
“I imagine what is happening between many Republicans is that they start with the idea that they are supporters of Trump,” Rice told Daily Kos. Then, when they are asked about what he wants to do in the areas of the specified policy, they choose what they want to see, and assume that this is what Trump also wants, because it is because it is because it is, because it is, because it is, because it is also, because it is also, because it is also, because it is also what Trump also wants, because it is also, and they assume that this is what Trump also wants, because it is, they Trump’s support. ”
This is the effect of polarization at work.
The expressive bias takes it more. Popular policies – such as raising the minimum wage or taxes on companies – are attributed to Trump by Republicans who want to enhance their support.
“Some of them may realize that raising the minimum wage, improving the conditions of workers, and raising the tax on companies are common positions, and then confirms that Trump wants to do these things – more than that because they support Trump and want this support, instead of noting that Trump wants to do something less popular,” said Rice.
Reeher added that some Republicans may link points that are not already lined up. For example, seeing Trump’s difficult talk about migration or manufacturing as evidence that he wants to raise wages.
“It seems that some voters are translating Trump’s speech into policies that are not actually supported-like the assumption of support for workers with blue collars means raising the minimum wage, or that inviting companies means imposing taxes on them,” Rice said.
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This is not completely new. Democrats were Special smoking About this during the 2024 campaign. New York Times/Siena College It is possible that voters, whom September found (32 %), may think that Trump was “very conservative”, compared to 47 % who said that former presidential candidate Kamala Harris was “very liberal.” It was a striking data point, that helped promote the narration that Trump was a more moderate option than Harris – even as his actual record said otherwise.
We saw shades of the same phenomenon in 2021, when millions of Americans Insist on the 2020 elections It was “Al -Masrouki”. For many, the claim was less than true faith in fraud and more voters It indicates loyalty For Trump.
In the words of Reeher, this type of bias is not necessarily related to facts – it is related to expression of loyalty.
Framing things too. People love the idea of ”protecting workers” in theory, but they may not link this principle with actual policies. Movements such as weakening OSHA rules, eliminating child work restrictions, or undermining wage standards do not seem like “pro -workers” situations when clarified clearly. It is easier for supporters to say that Trump is “workers” in the summary, even when he cuts his policies against them in practice.
On the contrary, the positions of the Democrats policy are less disturbed in the public mind. The same thing Yogov survey Adults were found throughout the political spectrum in general where Democrats stand: 86 % of Democrats, 65 % of independents, and 63 % of Republicans knew that Democrats wanted to increase the minimum wage. A similar majority in all parts of party groups also learned that Democrats want to raise taxes on companies and wealthy people. Even if voters do not always like the positions of Democrats, they tend to know what they are.
This is what makes Trump’s Republicans reveal. If the Republican Party voters really believe that it is more liberal than it is, then this suggests two things: Either the Republicans want policies such as higher wages and protect the strongest workers but do not realize that Trump opposes them, or they do not know enough about his record to notice the gap between discourse and reality.
“Many polls have indicated over the past decades that the public generally supports more liberal policies when these policies are described in objective ways.” “Whether this means that Republicans should adopt these policies is a more complex question – uncertainly, they were arguing with a more conservative approach.”
The biggest issue here is the lack of political literacy. Most voters do not follow the print of the fine of the policy of economics or workers closely to see where the parties are really divided. This gap makes it easy for misconceptions to stick – and for partisan loyalty and Trump brand to fill the voids.
John Mark HansenA professor of political science at the University of Chicago told Daily Kos that with only 6 % representation of private sector workers, a few Americans hear messages supporting workers outside the worker outside party policy. In this void, Trump filled the space Performing work This friend voice. But when it comes to actual policy, His record tells a different story.
“Most people have very limited information about policies, especially in areas that do not affect them,” Hansen said. “Parties tend to retract partisan talk when they do not know or care much. How did a party hate Russia on the chest to the Putin champion as the best friend of America?”
In the end, the polls say less than Trump’s policies more than how voters themselves see reflected in it. What this survey and other survey studies indicate is that Trump’s supporters offer their own preferences – even when these preferences conflict with his actual record. This gap between perception and reality is not just immersion in voting – it is a feature of today’s policy: facts often take a back seat of identity.
Any updates?
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New poll from Wall Street Journal – Nor Americans show a deeper drowning in economic depression. Only 25 % say they have a good opportunity to improve their standard of living – The lowest share Since the survey began in 1987. Almost eight out of every 10 (78 %) doubts that the next generation will be better, and nearly 70 % says that the American dream was never present or no longer, most doubts were recorded in 15 years. It reduces discontentment on a large scale across sex, age, education and income. However, the expectations are not completely dark. Forty -four percent now describes the economy is excellent or good, which is an increase of 38 % a year ago. However, most adults – 56 % – reside in the evaluation of conditions as poor, confirming how Trump’s economic policies They are weighed General feelings.
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During the weekend, rumors were circulating that Trump died – the president calls himself earlier this week He has not heard anything about him. While Trump is still alive, his health was scrutinized after he was seen with Bruises on his right hand and Swelling. Constant questions about his life and fitness have prompted some voters to ask whether he was completely able to deal with the job as a president. A Yugov A poll found that 59 % of adults believe that Trump’s health and age affects his ability to do this task, at least somewhat, while about a quarter (26 %) say it has never affected him. As expected, opinions differ sharply on party lines, with the presence of Republicans less likely to see an effect. However, if the transition is necessary, most voter voters trust in the Republican Party JD Vance: 75 % of Republicans said Yugov It is qualified to take over, compared to only 10 % of Democrats.
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Trump and his allies were explicit about the desire for women –Especially white women– Get more children. New Gallop The poll shows that even with low birth rates, Americans still love the idea of major families. Pluralism now says that the “ideal” family size is two or three children – from three or four in 1935 – but the point is clear: people still want families, though this Republican Hadith points This indicates otherwise.
Chic Vepi
As of the middle of Friday, 44.3 % of Americans agreed to Trump, while 51.3 % rejected -a net classification classification of -6.9 points, after approximation, according to election analyst Nate Silvars Average voting.
