Marine Le Pen is hoping to sweep the popularity of the Western world to the Easy Palace.
“The winds of history have turned,” Le Pen, which heads the extreme right -wing National Front (FN). He said A crowd of supporters in the launch of its presidential attempt earlier this month in Lyon, the industrial city in southeast of France. “It will carry us to the top.”
Opinion polls showed that Le Pen won the first round of France’s presidential elections in April, only for a loss for anyone facing in the second round of voting in May. This candidate is likely to be Francois Fion, the right -wing candidate, or Emmanuel Macron, independent; Opinion polls show the two swinging men between second and third in the first round. If no majority filter achieves in the first round, then the best of the capture sounds are advancing to the second round. Although it is still early, the polling can be wrong, the possibility of hitting Luban either Fillon or Macron in the second round is slim. However, as the Western Corporation decreased by Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential elections, the UK decision to leave the European Union, and an increase in anger at political elites throughout Europe, and they are other popular leaders right right in Europe.
Le Pen France imagines closed borders, its own currency, and difficult immigration controls; A country independent of international bodies such as NATO, which ultimately puts itself. This internal thinking, Le Pen, recall the supporters, will not be unique in France.
“Other people have shown the road,” she said, noting that Britain’s exit from the European Union last summer and Trump was elected last November.
Although such feelings may suffer from emission, many Le Pen’s policies are not new. In fact, her Statement of 144 points The determination of its vision of France reflects many policies that FN has offered since it was established more than four decades ago by her father, Jean -Marie Le Pen. From the beginning, the party opposed the European Union, economic protectionism and marriage of the same sex. It was also characterized by immigration, anti -Muslim, anti -Semitic feelings (Jean -Marie Pence repeatedly and repeatedly with the Holocaust as a minor. “the details“From history and defended the collaborators in the Vichy government, which deported tens of thousands of French Jews to death camps during World War II).
These opinions did not gain a lot of electoral success. The party did not win a single local elections in 2015, and it demands only two seats in the French parliament. It was the best previous performance in FN in the 2002 presidential election when Jean -Marie Le Pen advanced to the second round for the first time in Fn’s history; Voters delivered the then-born president Jack Cherek 82 percent of the vote-an unprecedented victory that was widely considered more reprimanding FN than Chirac’s approval. By the time Marin Le Pen took the position of FN leader in 2011, the party began a period of reincarnation-which retained its remote right-wing values with a less focus on homosexuality and anti-Semitic elements. This ultimately led to the expulsion of Elder Le Pen from the party in 2015 in a family battle in the media.
“Overall or not, gave ammunition to our opponents,” Le Pen He said From her father in November, adding: “Today our opponents no longer have that ammunition.”
However, the smaller brand rename efforts alone may not be sufficient. Dr. David is not a researcher in French Policy at Warwick University, last November that although Le Pen’s external status certainly helped her anti -Foundation image, she may also pose a challenge.
“Liz said that FN did not only get two members of the National Assembly in France … so if it wins, you will not be able to form a government. You will find a great difficulty in power without any feeling of support in Parliament. It will not get anything because the options of government by a decree in France are very small for the president. “
In fact, finding a common ground with other members of the government would make it difficult for Le Pen-especially compared to competitors such as Macron, whose middle agenda towards business can be more attractive to swinging on the left and right than the FNA popular agenda. However, Le Pen has proven to be effective in societies previously marginalized by Fn. The party has actively followed more progressive reasons such as strengthening women’s rights and gay rights, as well as protecting the Jewish community in France from anti-Semitism-by providing Islamic immigration as a threat to the three.
“We do not want to live under the rule or threat of Islamic fundamentalism,” she told Lyon.
FN found a common issue with developed right -wing parties across Europe, which shares its anti -Islam and anti -real estate agenda, as well as other governments. Le Pen praised Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin, With reference If elected, the three leaders “will be good for world peace.” Le Pen was a voice supporter of rapprochement with Russia. In addition to rejecting the idea of Russia’s actions in the Crimean Peninsula as a conqueror, the European Union sanctions were condemned for Moscow as well. “Completely stupid“FN received a loan of 11 million euros (about $ 11.6 million) from the first Russian Czech bank in Moscow in 2014, and Lopen has It is said Russia asked another loan to finance its current presidential offer, noting that French banks’ refusal to lend.
Frederick Weslo, director of the broader European Program at the European Council for Foreign Relations, told me in January that Moscow’s ideological rapprochement with Fn is what attracts him to most extremist right -wing popular parties in Europe.
“They see a state ready to adhere to the rights of socially conservative, which adopted the authoritarian populism, and this is also the hatred of foreigners, especially anti -Islam, and this is something that many of these parties can be linked.” “There is a lot of overlap.”
Although FN leader is not the only French presidential candidate to support better relations with Russia (Fillon, the right -wing candidate, supported the reconciliation), and has sparked reports on Russian media coverage in favor of Le Pen against other competitors Fears Moscow may try to interfere in the France elections, similar to the way it occurred in the United States elections.
But despite all the challenges facing Le Pen as a leader who has not been tested for a historic margin party, the challenges that are often ignored are their role as one candidate in France. Women were historically represented in French politics, where the legislators are compensated 25 percent From the National Assembly and 27 percent From the Senate. Édith Cresson became the first one woman to work as prime minister in 1991 during the era of President Francois Mitran, but she suffered Women’s positions Between the elites of the Socialist Party. Ségoène Royal, a member of a French date in 2007 when she became the first woman to be nominated as a presidential candidate by a main party. She lost to Nicholas Sarkozy in the second round.
If Le Pen advanced to the second round as polls indicate, the second candidate that has done so will be since Royal. It is a glass roof that she may have difficulty in breaking.
“We had no female president, we had never a leader in France,” Liz said. “So there is no previous precedent there.”
With the first round of voting less than two months away, Le Pen has the task of maintaining the opinion polls that have given it since the beginning of the elections. However, this will also include not leaving the recent allegations that have abused 300,000 euros from the European Union’s funds to pay its parliamentary assistants. It is a charge that Le Pen denied, and those that led to the arrest of its chief of staff, Catherine Grisite, who was accused of violating confidence. Le Pen’s lawyer says that the investigation is an attempt to attach the presidential hope “the moment when its nomination achieves a big penetration.”